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If you are a professor of Math at a college, I have a math problem for you to solve. What are the odds that the top 10 and top 11 highest winning percentages for Barack Obama would all come from caucus states? What are the odds that the top 11 caucus wins and zero primary wins are just a coincidence, and how much do the odds reduce if Barack Obama happened to have better organization in all of those caucus states than Hillary Clinton?
The critical data to work with is the following. Through May 10th of 2008 there were 32 primaries and approximately 17 caucuses. What are the odds that Barack Obama's top 11 highest percentages were all from caucus states? I believe the odds of the 11 highest winning percentages all being from caucus states to be in the millions, and possibly even the billions. I believe that at a miniumum 3 primaries should be mixed in among Barack Obama's top 10 or 11 winning percentages for the results to be considered mathematically legitimate.
If you read the comments section you will find additional information that may help you with your calculations. Otherwise you can keep it simple and just go with the data provided above.
I would like a college professor to give me their calcuation results, or they can make it a class project and have their students do it.
Thank you in advance. It's been a over a week since I made my challenge and after an initial attempt seemed to stall, nobody else seems able to provide a mathematical probability.
