Showing posts with label 2008 presidential race. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2008 presidential race. Show all posts

Wednesday, November 5, 2008

NewsMax Reports about the Polling Inaccuracies that favored the Democrats, 10 DAYS after I WARNED about it on this HILLARY-WINS Blog.


Just as I predicted 10 days ago, MSNBC is Manipulating Numbers to try and Deflate John McCain Voters, here is the Statistical Proof. and NEWSMAX confirmed today, 10 days later, NewsMax Report on Polling Inflation, the polling institutions were inaccurate in their polling of this years presidential race between Barack Obama and John McCain.

I have never implied that John McCain was going to win the popular vote, but I knew there was a chance he could win the electoral college vote. I had predicted 10 days ago that polling states such as New York, Pennsylvania and California, would overinflate Barack Obama's overall lead in the rest of the states, and in the process demoralize Republican voters, Hillary Clinton supporters, and undecided independents.

This trend against John McCain re-accelerated (after the stock market crash) with the 'BIG TEN" polling a couple of weeks back that predicted incredibly large leads for Barack Obama. A law needs to be passed in regards to polls that are taken. I want to KNOW THE AVERAGE AGE of the pollsters who are actually conducting the interviews.

I bet if we could go back and review the age of the pollsters, we would find a skew that is age related. I'm pretty sure the Big Ten polling used college aged pollsters, who no doubt connected with other college aged kids in their polling.

The end result was all of these polls gave Barack Obama almost a 3 percentage point boost, and that no doubt made a pscyhological difference to millions of voters as to whether or not they would vote.

Once again, you heard it here 10 days ago, NewsMax confirmed it today.

Saturday, October 25, 2008

MSNBC is Manipulating Numbers to try and Deflate John McCain Voters, here is the Statistical Proof.

From what I have read, Barack Obama is absolutely positively going to win California, New York, and Illinois. These three states comprise 22.5 % of all voters. Assuming a current lead for Barack Obama of 8 percentage points, the bigger the current polling margin of victory for Barack Obama in California, New York, and Illinois, the better for John McCain in the remaining 47 states!

Yes, up is down, and down is up.

Lets say that Barack Obama has an overall 8 percentage point lead in national polling of all the states. Lets also say that Barack Obama is leading in California, New York and Illinois by 20%. That means that in the remaining 47 states Barack Obama is only leading by 2.5% of the vote.

But what If the lead in California, New York, and Illinois is even bigger but Barack Obama's overall lead is still 8 percentage points? What if the lead in these three states is actually 33%, then in the remaining 47 states, the two candidates are basically tied in the popular vote!

While it is possible that Barack Obama could win in a landslide, it is also possible that John McCain could win several key states by a very small amount each, and in the process actually win the nomination even while losing the popular vote by several million votes.

What MSNBC is desperately trying to do is demoralize the John McCain base so they don't even bother showing up to vote.

The race is close enough for John McCain to still win, it's just the liberal media trying to get you to give up and not vote that might make Barack Obama a landslide winner instead of a very, very close, loser who wins the popular vote by a few million while losing the electoral college vote to John McCain.

Monday, October 13, 2008

How Oprah Winfrey and George Soros have influence peddled this year while conservatives such as Dr. Laura stay on the sidelines.

What I have found most offensive about this years presidential race has been the interfering by rich or powerful celebrities during the democratic nominating process. George Soros and Oprah Winfrey have added their influence to this year's democratic race and in the process may have harmed the sovereignty of future presidential races.

I believe up until this year there has been an unstated "gentleman's agreement" that the real influential power would hold back some of their power until after our two main political parties had their millions of voters vote for their favorite candidate. An example of this type of situation would be John McCain only having 1% of the vote less than one year ago, yet coming back to win the Republican nomination.

However, on the democratic side, the democrats seemed to have ripped up the playbook and did everything in their power to help Barack Obama win at all costs. This Barack must win strategy has created a new problem. Why should either political side wait for 30 million voters to help decide who is the nominee when overzealous help early on by the rich and powerful can pretty much lock up the nomination before the voters get to vote?

I believe the evidence in the 2008 presidential race shows that the conservative side basically allowed the existing candidates to legitimately battle each other, and once John McCain was elected, they rallied around him. On the democratic side, interveners like Oprah Winfrey and George Soros, rather than wait until 35 million democrats decided who would be the nominee, decided to manipulate who would actually get the democratic nomination before 35 million democratic voters voted.

This is actually a serious issue.

If Oprah Winfrey and George Soros are successful in their quest to dictate who is the democratic nominee prior to 35 million democrats voting, it will only get worse in future elections. Although I don't know how much Dr. Laura could have influenced this year's election, it is sad to see democrats such as George Soros and Oprah Winfrey lowering the bar to the point where it will no doubt contaminate the electoral process from now on, meanwhile Dr. Laura remains rather quiet and does not use her show or celebrity to manipulate voters the way Oprah Winfrey has shamelessly been doing for over a year now.

I wish for Barack Obama to lose so that the rich and powerful don't believe they are above all others when it comes to influence peddling who will be each political parties nominee.