MSNBC is Manipulating Numbers to try and Deflate John McCain Voters, here is the Statistical Proof.

From what I have read, Barack Obama is absolutely positively going to win California, New York, and Illinois. These three states comprise 22.5 % of all voters. Assuming a current lead for Barack Obama of 8 percentage points, the bigger the current polling margin of victory for Barack Obama in California, New York, and Illinois, the better for John McCain in the remaining 47 states!

Yes, up is down, and down is up.

Lets say that Barack Obama has an overall 8 percentage point lead in national polling of all the states. Lets also say that Barack Obama is leading in California, New York and Illinois by 20%. That means that in the remaining 47 states Barack Obama is only leading by 2.5% of the vote.

But what If the lead in California, New York, and Illinois is even bigger but Barack Obama's overall lead is still 8 percentage points? What if the lead in these three states is actually 33%, then in the remaining 47 states, the two candidates are basically tied in the popular vote!

While it is possible that Barack Obama could win in a landslide, it is also possible that John McCain could win several key states by a very small amount each, and in the process actually win the nomination even while losing the popular vote by several million votes.

What MSNBC is desperately trying to do is demoralize the John McCain base so they don't even bother showing up to vote.

The race is close enough for John McCain to still win, it's just the liberal media trying to get you to give up and not vote that might make Barack Obama a landslide winner instead of a very, very close, loser who wins the popular vote by a few million while losing the electoral college vote to John McCain.

How the MSNBC led media continues to manipulate math to make it seem like Barack Obama is too far ahead of John McCain.

MSNBC keeps citing national polls that show Barack Obama up by 12 or 13 percentage points. There is a definite misleading nature to this type of polling. Barack Obama may be hugely ahead in a few big states, like Illinois, New York and California, but that is not necessary the best of news for Barack Obama.

If Barack Obama has a huge lead in Illinois, New York and California, that may just be inflating the national polling numbers while meaning nothing in all of the closer races in the remaining states. Sure I'd rather be the candidate that that leads in New York, California and Illinois, and is neck and neck in the total vote of the other 47 races, but this is an electoral race, and a bigger lead in California, Illnois, and New York does not net Barack Obama any additional electoral college votes versus barely winning in those same three states.

It would appear that the way for John McCain to win is to barely win in states like Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida. Barack Obama could poll 10 points higher among the six large states of Ohio, Pennsylvania, Florida, California, New York and Illinois, but still end up splitting those six states.

If you want to get a truer sense of the overall race, the top five vote getting states of each candidate should be thrown out entirely, then poll the remaining 40 states to get a better sense of each candidates overall popularity. However, even then, if John McCain keeps eeking out 50-49% victories while Barack Obama has a couple of 66-33% victories, John McCain will actually do MUCH MUCH better in an electoral college race than in the national polls that simply poll for overall popularity.

However, the problem is the media itself is trying to use huge leads for Barack Obama in three large states to imply that the presidential race is already over. I actually wouldn't feel sorry about now if the MSNBC news headquarters blew a few fuses so we wouldn't have to hear their pro Barack Obama rant spewed fortg as fact, and in the process actually continue to unfairly manipulate the race.